Summary

Czech Republic 1-1 South Africa (FT). Group A, FIFA World Cup 2026. Our model's pick was Czech Republic at 43% — it missed.

Czech Republic vs South Africa Result, Stats & How Our Model Did

Czech Republic1-1South Africa (FT) in this World Cup 2026 Group A tie, with the full stats, timeline, and an honest look at whether our model called it.

How Our Model Did

Where they go from here

Czech Republic

63%Advance

2%Semi

1%Final

0%Champion

South Africa

40%Advance

1%Semi

0%Final

0%Champion

Our model missed

We made Czech Republic our pick at 43%; it finished 1-1 (draw). The model missed this one. We'd rather tell you that than pretend otherwise. See our methodology.

Model pick: Czech Republic 43% Structural: 43/32/25 Actual: Draw (1-1)

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Final Result FT

Thu, Jun 18 · Atlanta · Match 2 · Group A

Czech Republic

South Africa

Full-time Score Model missed

1 FT 1

Czech Republic South Africa

Model picked Czech Republic at 43%. Missed (actual: Draw). Full breakdown

FT · model missed Match stats

What the model weighs

Hot Humid IndoorAtlanta conditions

2373.1 / 2171.1 kmTravel, CZE / SOU

7 days eachRest before kickoff

Neutral venueNeither side at home

320 mAtlanta elevation

100% Independent Structural · Live · Market No manufactured edges

Match Report

Czech Republic and South Africa shared a 1-1 draw in Group A at World Cup 2026, Matchday 2. Michal Sadílek, set up by Alexandr Sojka, opened the scoring on 6'. Later, Teboho Mokoena levelled it at 1-1 on 83'.

South Africa controlled the ball with 61% possession and 15 shots to Czech Republic's 14. An expected-goals figure of 0.94 to 1.18 says the scoreline matched the balance of play. xG measures chance quality, not just shot count.

Our structural model had made Czech Republic the 43% favourite, but it did not call this one. Going in, the split read Czech Republic 43%, Draw 32%, South Africa 25%. Getting it wrong is part of the record too, and we publish every call. See our methodology for how the model is built.

Match Stats Compare Sites

Match Stats

Czech Republic

FT 1 - 1

South Africa

xG 0.94 vs 1.18

Total shots

Shots on goal

39%

Possession

61%

Corners

Fouls

80%

Pass accuracy

90%

Saves

Shots outside box

Blocked shots

Shots inside box

Shots outside box

Offsides

336

Total passes

548

Yellow cards

Live match data from the gaffer pipeline. No invented numbers.

Match Timeline

Czech Republic and South Africa drew 1-1 in their World Cup 2026 Group A clash. The two goals were split across both halves, in a match that also brought three bookings and eight substitutions.

Czech Republic

1 - 1 FT

South Africa

2 Goals

3 Yellow Cards

0 Red Cards

8 Substitutions

5 Key Moments

Michal Sadílek Assist: Alexandr Sojka GOAL

33'

Teboho Mokoena YELLOW

40'

Thalente Mbatha YELLOW

46'

Jayden Adams for Relebohile Mofokeng SUB

55'

Alexandr Sojka for Jaroslav Zelený SUB

55'

Vladimír Darida for Pavel Šulc SUB

66'

Iqraam Rayners for Evidence Makgopa SUB

67'

Adam Hložek for Lukáš Provod SUB

67'

Michal Sadílek for Tomáš Souček SUB

75'

Ladislav Krejčí YELLOW

78'

Lukáš Červ for David Zima SUB

83'

Teboho Mokoena GOAL

84'

Thapelo Maseko for Kamogelo Sebelebele SUB

Lineups

Confirmed team news and starting line-ups for Czech Republic vs South Africa in this World Cup 2026 Group A clash. Czech Republic set up in a 3-5-2 and South Africa in a 4-3-3, with key players and substitutes for both sides below. Michal Sadílek and Teboho Mokoena scored from the starting XI.

Czech Republic vs South Africa

Czech Republic 3-5-2 Confirmed XI

Vladimír Darida Key player · 6.8

Vladimír Coufal Key player · 6.7

Patrik Schick Key player · 6.4

Goalkeeper

1 Matěj Kovář 6.6 GK

Defence

5 Vladimír Coufal 6.7 RB

3 Tomáš Holeš 6.5 CB

7 Ladislav Krejčí 6.9 CB

4 Robin Hranáč 6.2 CB

Midfield

8 Vladimír Darida 6.8 CM

12 Lukáš Červ 6.8 CM

24 Alexandr Sojka 6.8 CM

Attack

10 Patrik Schick 6.4 CF

18 Michal Sadílek 7.0 LW

9 Adam Hložek 6.7 CF

55' Jaroslav Zelený for Alexandr Sojka

55' Pavel Šulc for Vladimír Darida

67' Lukáš Provod for Adam Hložek

67' Tomáš Souček for Michal Sadílek

78' David Zima for Lukáš Červ

South Africa 4-3-3 Confirmed XI

Ronwen Williams Key player · 7.0

Teboho Mokoena Key player · 8.0

Aubrey Modiba Key player · 7.3

Goalkeeper

1 Ronwen Williams 7.0 GK

Defence

6 Aubrey Modiba 7.3 LB

20 Khuliso Mudau 7.0 RB

21 Ime Okon 7.0 CB

14 Mbekezeli Mbokazi 7.0 CB

Midfield

4 Teboho Mokoena 8.0 CM

23 Jayden Adams 6.5 AM

5 Thalente Mbatha 6.7 CM

Attack

12 Thapelo Maseko 7.3 LW

15 Iqraam Rayners 6.3 CF

7 Oswin Appollis 7.0 LW

46' Relebohile Mofokeng for Jayden Adams

66' Evidence Makgopa for Iqraam Rayners

84' Kamogelo Sebelebele for Thapelo Maseko

Key player (most caps in the XI) Scored in this match Subbed off

Match Analysis

Our structural model and the market land in the same place on this one, so there is no team-side edge to chase. What makes it interesting is our live-form lens, which weights recent results and reads the game differently from the base model. Here is the case on both sides, honestly.

Czech Republic's Outlook

Their last outing: a loss vs Mexico (0-3). Live-form lens has them at 51%, a 8pp split from the structural read worth noting.

Tomáš Souček (Midfielder, 31) is one of the names the squad model leans on.
Vladimír Darida (Midfielder, 36) is one of the names the squad model leans on.

South Africa's Outlook

Last time out: lost vs Canada (0-1). Live-form lens: 19% (6pp divergence from structural).

Ronwen Williams (Goalkeeper, 34) carries real weight in the squad metrics.
Teboho Mokoena (Midfielder, 29) carries real weight in the squad metrics.

Key Matchups

The model expects roughly 2.19 goals here.

BTTS at 43% and Over 2.5 at 38% point to how open the model expects this to be.
The Czech Republic win line (43%) is the single most likely team outcome.

Our Take

No clean 1X2 value: structure and market agree, so the favourite is a fair price, not an edge.

The honest angle is the lens split, not a value claim.
Trust recent form over season-long structure? The live lens is the contrarian read, with the variance that implies.

Tale of the Tape

Side-by-side comparison of the model's key probabilities and tournament outlook.

Czech Republic UEFA

Group A, 4th

CAF South Africa

Group A, 2nd

42.6% Favourite

Win Probability

25.2%

62.6%

Advance to Knockout

39.8%

2.5%

Reach the Semis

0.5%

0.7%

Reach the Final

0.1%

0.17%

Champion Chance

0.06%

0.77

xG per Match

Stronger attack 0.87

Insight: Our model gives Czech Republic the edge, fractionally ahead on five of six measures: a higher win probability, better knockout odds and a clearer path to the semis.

View full match stats Group A standings & all matches

Group A: standings & all matches

Key Players

The names that decide a tight game. International caps and goals are real squad data from the model's pipeline. Squad strength is one of the primary inputs the structural model weighs.

Czech Republic

Tomáš Souček C

Midfielder · 31 · West Ham United FC (ENG)

91Caps

17Goals

Vladimír Darida

Midfielder · 36 · FC Hradec Králové (CZE)

79Caps

8Goals

Vladimír Coufal

Defender · 34 · TSG Hoffenheim (GER)

63Caps

2Goals

Patrik Schick

Forward · 30 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (GER)

54Caps

26Goals

South Africa

Ronwen Williams C

Goalkeeper · 34 · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA)

65Caps

0Goals

Teboho Mokoena

Midfielder · 29 · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA)

58Caps

9Goals

Themba Zwane

Midfielder · 37 · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA)

56Caps

12Goals

Aubrey Modiba

Defender · 31 · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA)

49Caps

3Goals

Recent Form & Head to Head

L0-3

vs Mexico

D1-1

vs South Africa

L1-2

vs South Korea

W5-1

vs Guatemala

W2-1

vs Kosovo

View match analysis

L0-1

vs Canada

W1-0

vs South Korea

D1-1

vs Czech Republic

L0-2

vs Mexico

W1-0

vs Jamaica

View match analysis

2 meetings on record between Czech Republic and South Africa.

Year	Score
2026	Czech Republic 1-1 South Africa
1997	South Africa 2-2 Czech Republic

View match analysis

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Frequently Asked Questions

How did Czech Republic vs South Africa end?

Czech Republic 1-1 South Africa (FT) in the Group A stage of the FIFA World Cup 2026, at Atlanta. Full stats, the timeline, and lineups are above.

Did the model get Czech Republic vs South Africa right?

No. Our structural model made Czech Republic the pick at 43% (43/32/25), but it finished draw (1-1). The model missed this one, and we'd rather say so than dress it up.

When and where was Czech Republic vs South Africa played?

Thursday, June 18, 2026, Atlanta. Group A stage of the FIFA World Cup 2026. A neutral venue for both sides.

How does the model do over a full tournament?

One match is one data point. The structural model reads each tie 43/32/25 and we publish every call, hits and misses alike, so the track record stays honest. See our methodology for how the model weighs squad strength, form, and ratings.

What was the head-to-head record between Czech Republic and South Africa?

Before this match, Czech Republic and South Africa had met 2 times: 0 Czech Republic wins, 0 South Africa wins, 2 draws.