England 0-0 Ghana (FT). Group L, FIFA World Cup 2026. Our model's pick was England at 71% — it missed.
England0-0Ghana (FT) in this World Cup 2026 Group L tie, with the full stats, timeline, and an honest look at whether our model called it.
England
GhanaWe made England our pick at 71%; it finished 0-0 (draw). The model missed this one. We'd rather tell you that than pretend otherwise. See our methodology.
Bet this match Up to $200 in bet credits Compare every site's odds England Ghana England and Ghana played out a goalless draw in Group L at World Cup 2026, Matchday 2. The shot counts finished 19 to 2.
England controlled the ball with 79% possession and 19 shots to Ghana's 2. An expected-goals figure of 1.36 to 0.17 says the margin understated how one-sided this was. xG measures chance quality, not just shot count. England generated the clearer chances by some distance.
Our structural model had made England the 71% favourite, but it did not call this one. Going in, the split read England 71%, Draw 20%, Ghana 8%. Getting it wrong is part of the record too, and we publish every call. See our methodology for how the model is built.
England Live match data from the gaffer pipeline. No invented numbers.
England and Ghana played out a goalless draw in their World Cup 2026 Group L clash. The match brought two bookings and nine substitutions.
England Declan Rice YELLOW Iñaki Williams YELLOW Anthony Gordon for Bukayo Saka SUB Djed Spence for Nico O'Reilly SUB Iñaki Williams for Abdul Fatawu SUB Jordan Ayew for Prince Adu SUB Jude Bellingham for Morgan Rogers SUB Elliot Anderson for Eberechi Eze SUB Noni Madueke for Marcus Rashford SUB Marvin Senaya for Kojo Peprah Oppong SUB Prince Adu for Baba Rahman SUB Confirmed team news and starting line-ups for England vs Ghana in this World Cup 2026 Group L clash. England set up in a 4-2-3-1 and Ghana in a 4-3-3, with key players and substitutes for both sides below.
England vs Ghana England 4-2-3-1 Confirmed XI 
Ghana 4-3-3 Confirmed XI 
Key player (most caps in the XI) Scored in this match Subbed off
Our structural model and the market land in the same place on this one, so there is no team-side edge to chase. What makes it interesting is our live-form lens, which weights recent results and reads the game differently from the base model. Here is the case on both sides, honestly.
England's OutlookTheir last outing: a win vs France (6-4). Live-form lens has them at 72%, broadly in line with the structural model.
Ghana's OutlookLast time out: lost vs Colombia (0-1). Over 2.5 at 56% means the model expects this to stay open, which suits teams comfortable in transitions. Live-form lens: 8%.
The model expects roughly 2.94 goals here.
No clean 1X2 value: structure and market agree, so the favourite is a fair price, not an edge.
Side-by-side comparison of the model's key probabilities and tournament outlook.
Insight: Our model gives England the edge, fractionally ahead on all six measures: a higher win probability, better knockout odds and a clearer path to the semis.
The names that decide a tight game. International caps and goals are real squad data from the model's pipeline. Squad strength is one of the primary inputs the structural model weighs.
England Ghana2 meetings on record between England and Ghana.
| Year | Score |
|---|---|
| 2026 | England 0-0 Ghana |
| 2011 | England 1-1 Ghana |
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