Switzerland's Outlook
Their last outing: a loss vs Argentina (1-3).
- Granit Xhaka (Midfielder, 34) is one of the names the squad model leans on.
- Ricardo Rodriguez (Defender, 34) is one of the names the squad model leans on.
Summary
Switzerland 2-0 Algeria (FT). Round of 32, FIFA World Cup 2026. Our model's pick was Switzerland at 40% — it called it.
Switzerland vs Algeria Result, Stats & How Our Model Did
Switzerland2-0Algeria (FT) in this World Cup 2026 Round of 32 tie, with the full stats, timeline, and an honest look at whether our model called it.
How Our Model Did
Where they go from here
Switzerland89%Advance
10%Semi
4%Final
2%Champion
Algeria73%Advance
4%Semi
2%Final
0%Champion
Our model called it
We made Switzerland our pick at 40%, and that's how it finished (2-0). The structural model called this one. See our methodology.
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Switzerland Algeria
Full-time Score
Model called it
2 FT 0
Switzerland Algeria
Model pick: Switzerland at 40%. Called it. Full breakdown
FT · model called it Match stats
What the model weighs
Mild IndoorVancouver conditions
Neutral venueNeither side at home
Sea levelVancouver elevation
100% Independent Structural · Live · Market No manufactured edges
Match Report
Switzerland beat Algeria 2-0 in Round of 32 at World Cup 2026, Matchday 32. Breel Embolo, set up by Johan Manzambi, opened the scoring on 10'. Later, Dan Ndoye doubled the lead on 46'.
Algeria controlled the ball with 55% possession and 8 shots to Switzerland's 11. An expected-goals figure of 2.56 to 0.73 says the scoreline matched the balance of play. xG measures chance quality, not just shot count. Switzerland generated the clearer chances by some distance.
Our structural model had made Switzerland the 40% favourite, and it called this one right. The full pre-match split was Switzerland 40%, Draw 31%, Algeria 28%. See our methodology for how the model is built.
Match Stats
Switzerland FT 2 - 0
Algeria
xG 2.56 vs 0.73
11
Total shots
8 5
Shots on goal
2 45%
Possession
55% 4
Corners
2 10
Fouls
12 81%
Pass accuracy
85% 2
Saves
2 4
Shots outside box
3 2
Blocked shots
3 9
Shots inside box
5 2
Shots outside box
3 0
Offsides
2 436
Total passes
561 0
Yellow cards
2 Live match data from the gaffer pipeline. No invented numbers.
Match Timeline
Switzerland beat Algeria 2-0 in their World Cup 2026 Round of 32 clash. The two goals were split across both halves, in a match that also brought two bookings and ten substitutions.
Switzerland 2 - 0 FT
Algeria
2 Goals
2 Yellow Cards
0 Red Cards
10 Substitutions
4 Key Moments
10' Breel Embolo Assist: Johan Manzambi GOAL
Breel Embolo Assist: Johan Manzambi GOAL 36' Farès Chaïbi YELLOW
Farès Chaïbi YELLOW 46' Dan Ndoye GOAL
Dan Ndoye GOAL 58' Houssem Aouar for Jaouen Hadjam SUB
Houssem Aouar for Jaouen Hadjam SUB 58' Ramiz Zerrouki for Amine Gouiri SUB
Ramiz Zerrouki for Amine Gouiri SUB 71' Rubén Vargas for Fabian Rieder SUB
Rubén Vargas for Fabian Rieder SUB 71' Johan Manzambi for Noah Okafor SUB
Johan Manzambi for Noah Okafor SUB 71' Riyad Mahrez for Anis Hadj Moussa SUB
Riyad Mahrez for Anis Hadj Moussa SUB 71' Nabil Bentaleb for Hicham Boudaoui SUB
Nabil Bentaleb for Hicham Boudaoui SUB 72' Hicham Boudaoui YELLOW
Hicham Boudaoui YELLOW 82' Rafik Belghali for Adil Boulbina SUB
Rafik Belghali for Adil Boulbina SUB 83' Breel Embolo for Zeki Amdouni SUB
Breel Embolo for Zeki Amdouni SUB 87' Denis Zakaria for Silvan Widmer SUB
Denis Zakaria for Silvan Widmer SUB 87' Dan Ndoye for Michel Aebischer SUB
Dan Ndoye for Michel Aebischer SUB Lineups
Confirmed team news and starting line-ups for Switzerland vs Algeria in this World Cup 2026 Round of 32 clash. Switzerland set up in a 4-2-3-1 and Algeria in a 4-1-2-3, with key players and substitutes for both sides below. Breel Embolo and Dan Ndoye scored from the starting XI.
Switzerland vs Algeria Switzerland 4-2-3-1 Confirmed XI 
Goalkeeper
1 Gregor Kobel 7.4 GK
Defence
13 Ricardo Rodriguez 7.2 LB
5 Manuel Akanji 7.4 CB
4 Nico Elvedi 7.0 CB
Midfield
10 Granit Xhaka 7.5 DM
8 Remo Freuler 7.0 CM
6 Denis Zakaria 6.4 DM
9 Johan Manzambi 7.5 CM
Attack
7 Breel Embolo 7.4 CF
17 Rubén Vargas 7.9 LW
11 Dan Ndoye 6.5 RW
71' Fabian Rieder for Rubén Vargas
71' Noah Okafor for Johan Manzambi
83' Zeki Amdouni for Breel Embolo
87' Silvan Widmer for Denis Zakaria
87' Michel Aebischer for Dan Ndoye
Algeria 4-1-2-3 Confirmed XI 
Goalkeeper
23 Luca Zidane 6.4 GK
Defence
2 Aïssa Mandi 7.1 CB
21 Ramy Bensebaini 7.2 LB
15 Rayan Aït-Nouri 6.5 LB
17 Rafik Belghali 6.0 RB
Midfield
19 Nabil Bentaleb 6.8 DM
8 Houssem Aouar 6.4 AM
6 Ramiz Zerrouki 6.5 DM
10 Farès Chaïbi 6.5 AM
22 Ibrahim Maza 6.3 AM
Attack
7 Riyad Mahrez 7.0 RW
58' Jaouen Hadjam for Houssem Aouar
58' Amine Gouiri for Ramiz Zerrouki
71' Anis Hadj Moussa for Riyad Mahrez
71' Hicham Boudaoui for Nabil Bentaleb
82' Adil Boulbina for Rafik Belghali
Key player (most caps in the XI) Scored in this match Subbed off
Match Analysis
Our structural model and the market land in the same place on this one, so there is no team-side edge to chase. What makes it interesting is our live-form lens, which weights recent results and reads the game differently from the base model. Here is the case on both sides, honestly.
Algeria's Outlook
Last time out: lost vs Switzerland (0-2).
- Aïssa Mandi (Defender, 35) carries real weight in the squad metrics.
- Riyad Mahrez (Forward, 35) carries real weight in the squad metrics.
Key Matchups
The model expects roughly 2.37 goals here.
- BTTS at 48% and Over 2.5 at 42% point to how open the model expects this to be.
- The Switzerland win line (40%) is the single most likely team outcome.
Our Take
No clean 1X2 value: structure and market agree, so the favourite is a fair price, not an edge.
- The honest angle is the lens split, not a value claim.
- Trust recent form over season-long structure? The live lens is the contrarian read, with the variance that implies.
Tale of the Tape
Side-by-side comparison of the model's key probabilities and tournament outlook.
40.3% Favourite
Win Probability
28.4%
88.9%
Advance to Knockout
72.7%
9.7%
Reach the Semis
4.4%
3.9%
Reach the Final
1.6%
1.52%
Champion Chance
0.49%
2.13 Stronger attack
xG per Match
1.23
Insight: Our model gives Switzerland the edge, fractionally ahead on all six measures: a higher win probability, better knockout odds and a clearer path to the semis.
Key Players
The names that decide a tight game. International caps and goals are real squad data from the model's pipeline. Squad strength is one of the primary inputs the structural model weighs.
Switzerland
Algeria
Recent Form & Head to Head
L1-3
vs ArgentinaD0-0
vs ColombiaW2-0
vs AlgeriaW2-1
vs CanadaW4-1
vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaSwitzerland and Algeria have never met at senior level. This is their first competitive meeting.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How did Switzerland vs Algeria end?
Switzerland 2-0 Algeria (FT) in the Round of 32 stage of the FIFA World Cup 2026, at Vancouver. Full stats, the timeline, and lineups are above.
Did the model get Switzerland vs Algeria right?
Yes. Our structural model made Switzerland the pick at 40% (40/31/28), and the match finished switzerland win (2-0). The model called it.
When and where was Switzerland vs Algeria played?
Friday, July 3, 2026, Vancouver. Round of 32 stage of the FIFA World Cup 2026. A neutral venue for both sides.
How does the model do over a full tournament?
One match is one data point. The structural model reads each tie 40/31/28 and we publish every call, hits and misses alike, so the track record stays honest. See our methodology for how the model weighs squad strength, form, and ratings.
What was the head-to-head record between Switzerland and Algeria?
This was the first recorded competitive meeting between Switzerland and Algeria in our dataset.