Brenden Aaronson brings 58 caps and 9 international goals for United States at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, lining up as a forward. At club level they play for Leeds United FC (ENG). That record is the base the model weighs alongside current form and the strength of the group.
The model rates Aaronson's anytime-goalscoring probability at 3.1% at this tournament — a long shot read. That comes from an expected 0.07 goal contributions (xG + xA) over the projected minutes. Like every probability on the site, it is a long-run likelihood, not a guarantee that a goal arrives in any one match.