Erling Haaland brings 51 caps and 57 international goals for Norway at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, lining up as a forward. At club level they play for Manchester City FC (ENG). That record is the base the model weighs alongside current form and the strength of the group.
The model rates Haaland's anytime-goalscoring probability at 22.4% at this tournament — a outside read. That comes from an expected 0.30 goal contributions (xG + xA) over the projected minutes. Like every probability on the site, it is a long-run likelihood, not a guarantee that a goal arrives in any one match.