Ismaïla Sarr brings 85 caps and 19 international goals for Senegal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, lining up as a forward. At club level they play for Crystal Palace FC (ENG). That record is the base the model weighs alongside current form and the strength of the group.
The model rates Sarr's anytime-goalscoring probability at 12.3% at this tournament — a long shot read. That comes from an expected 0.17 goal contributions (xG + xA) over the projected minutes. Like every probability on the site, it is a long-run likelihood, not a guarantee that a goal arrives in any one match.
