Jefferson Lerma brings 66 caps and 5 international goals for Colombia at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, lining up as a midfielder. At club level they play for Crystal Palace FC (ENG). That record is the base the model weighs alongside current form and the strength of the group.
The model rates Lerma's anytime-goalscoring probability at 1.4% at this tournament — a long shot read. That comes from an expected 0.04 goal contributions (xG + xA) over the projected minutes. Like every probability on the site, it is a long-run likelihood, not a guarantee that a goal arrives in any one match.
