Kōki Ogawa brings 16 caps and 11 international goals for Japan at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, lining up as a forward. At club level they play for NEC Nijmegen (NED). That record is the base the model weighs alongside current form and the strength of the group.
The model rates Ogawa's anytime-goalscoring probability at 8.5% at this tournament — a long shot read. That comes from an expected 0.12 goal contributions (xG + xA) over the projected minutes. Like every probability on the site, it is a long-run likelihood, not a guarantee that a goal arrives in any one match.
