Lionel Messi brings 200 caps and 120 international goals for Argentina at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, lining up as a forward. At club level they play for Inter Miami CF (USA). That record is the base the model weighs alongside current form and the strength of the group.
The model rates Messi's anytime-goalscoring probability at 27.8% at this tournament — a outside read. That comes from an expected 0.50 goal contributions (xG + xA) over the projected minutes. Like every probability on the site, it is a long-run likelihood, not a guarantee that a goal arrives in any one match.