Marko Arnautović brings 134 caps and 48 international goals for Austria at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, lining up as a forward. At club level they play for FK Crvena Zvezda (SRB). That record is the base the model weighs alongside current form and the strength of the group.
The model rates Arnautović's anytime-goalscoring probability at 14.3% at this tournament — a outside read. That comes from an expected 0.19 goal contributions (xG + xA) over the projected minutes. Like every probability on the site, it is a long-run likelihood, not a guarantee that a goal arrives in any one match.
