Maximilian Arfsten brings 20 caps and 1 international goal for United States at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, lining up as a defender. At club level they play for Columbus Crew (USA). That record is the base the model weighs alongside current form and the strength of the group.
The model rates Arfsten's anytime-goalscoring probability at 6% at this tournament — a long shot read. That comes from an expected 0.14 goal contributions (xG + xA) over the projected minutes. Like every probability on the site, it is a long-run likelihood, not a guarantee that a goal arrives in any one match.
