Yukinari Sugawara brings 23 caps and 2 international goals for Japan at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, lining up as a defender. At club level they play for SV Werder Bremen (GER). That record is the base the model weighs alongside current form and the strength of the group.
The model rates Sugawara's anytime-goalscoring probability at 1.2% at this tournament — a long shot read. That comes from an expected 0.05 goal contributions (xG + xA) over the projected minutes. Like every probability on the site, it is a long-run likelihood, not a guarantee that a goal arrives in any one match.
