Summary

Finn Surman (New Zealand), Defender, 20 caps, 2 international goals, model: 1.6% to score anytime at WC 2026

Finn Surman

#20 Defender Portland Timbers (USA) New Zealand

Finn Surman is a 23-year-old defender for Portland Timbers (USA) and New Zealand. He has earned 20 caps and 2 international goals for New Zealand. Our model puts New Zealand's title chance at 0% with a 34% shot at clearing the group stage at World Cup 2026.

20 Caps

2 Goals

0 Season goals

1 Assists

6.89 Form rating

Age23Height190 cmWeight179 lbsMarket value€1.3M

View next match prediction See New Zealand team page

Betting Relevance

Anytime scorer angle Low

High shots volume Average

Tournament form Below par

100% Independent Model-driven probabilities No manufactured edges

Finn Surman · the model’s read

Finn Surman brings 20 caps and 2 international goals for New Zealand at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, lining up as a defender. At club level they play for Portland Timbers (USA). That record is the base the model weighs alongside current form and the strength of the group.

The model rates Surman's anytime-goalscoring probability at 1.6% at this tournament — a long shot read. That comes from an expected 0.04 goal contributions (xG + xA) over the projected minutes. Like every probability on the site, it is a long-run likelihood, not a guarantee that a goal arrives in any one match.

Finn Surman: World Cup 2026 Form

How Finn has rated match-by-match at World Cup 2026.

6.7

Avg rating 3 games · WC 2026

5.5

Last match vs Belgium

Dipping

7.3

vs Iran

90 min

7.4

vs Egypt

90 min · 1G 0A

5.5

vs Belgium

90 min

Finn Surman: Tournament Form vs Career Baseline

Per-90 output at World Cup 2026 (3 games) alongside the career baseline (56 matches on record), so you can read current form against the track record.

World Cup 2026 6.7

Career baseline 7.1

0.67 Shotsper 90 min 0.34

0.33 Shots on targetper 90 min 0.1

0.33 Key passesper 90 min 0.22

1 Tacklesper 90 min 1.36

1.33 Interceptionsper 90 min 1.3

3.33 Ball recoveriesper 90 min 2.94

65 Touchesper 90 min 66

At World Cup 2026, Finn is rating 6.7 — below his 7.1 career baseline.