Julián Álvarez brings 52 caps and 14 international goals for Argentina at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, lining up as a forward. At club level they play for Atlético De Madrid (ESP). That record is the base the model weighs alongside current form and the strength of the group.
The model rates Álvarez's anytime-goalscoring probability at 11.5% at this tournament — a long shot read. That comes from an expected 0.17 goal contributions (xG + xA) over the projected minutes. Like every probability on the site, it is a long-run likelihood, not a guarantee that a goal arrives in any one match.