Lawrence Shankland brings 21 caps and 7 international goals for Scotland at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, lining up as a forward. At club level they play for Heart Of Midlothian FC (SCO). That record is the base the model weighs alongside current form and the strength of the group.
The model rates Shankland's anytime-goalscoring probability at 14.7% at this tournament — a outside read. That comes from an expected 0.19 goal contributions (xG + xA) over the projected minutes. Like every probability on the site, it is a long-run likelihood, not a guarantee that a goal arrives in any one match.
