Scotland at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Group C. FIFA #42. Model: 64% to advance, 0% to win.
Scotland open their World Cup 2026 campaign in Group C, facing Haiti, Morocco, Brazil. Our model gives them a 64% shot at reaching the round of 16, realistic if they can take points off the group's weaker sides. They arrive on the back of L-L-W in recent results, their last outing a loss against Brazil (0-3).
The model gives Scotland a 64% probability of advancing from Group C at the 2026 FIFA World Cup and rates their title chance at 0%. Ranked #42 in the FIFA Men's World Ranking, qualification is genuinely contested rather than settled.
These are long-run probabilities, not certainties. A team rated at a 64% chance to advance still goes out roughly 36 times in 100, and the model's read can turn on a single red card, injury, or a tight decision. The outlook updates after each match Scotland play.
Six model dimensions — form, attack, defense, ranking, pedigree and tournament outlook — against the 48-team average (dashed). Where the blue polygon bulges past the dashed line, Scotland rates above the field.
Compare Scotland head-to-head with any team →
Players grouped by position, sorted by international caps. Squad data straight from the gaffer's pipeline.
Scotland's last 6 results, including World Cup 2026 fixtures, most recent first.
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