Pape Matar Sarr brings 41 caps and 4 international goals for Senegal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, lining up as a midfielder. At club level they play for Tottenham Hotspur FC (ENG). That record is the base the model weighs alongside current form and the strength of the group.
The model rates Sarr's anytime-goalscoring probability at 3.5% at this tournament — a long shot read. That comes from an expected 0.08 goal contributions (xG + xA) over the projected minutes. Like every probability on the site, it is a long-run likelihood, not a guarantee that a goal arrives in any one match.