Panama at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Group L. FIFA #44. Model: 37% to advance, 0% to win.
Los Canaleros (The Canal Men)
Group L · World Cup 2026Panama open their World Cup 2026 campaign in Group L, facing Ghana, Croatia, England. The model puts their group-stage survival odds at 37%. They need at least one win from three to stay alive. They arrive on the back of L-L-L in recent results, their last outing a loss against England (0-2).
The model gives Panama a 37% probability of advancing from Group L at the 2026 FIFA World Cup and rates their title chance at 0%. Ranked #44 in the FIFA Men's World Ranking, qualification is genuinely contested rather than settled.
These are long-run probabilities, not certainties. A team rated at a 37% chance to advance still goes out roughly 63 times in 100, and the model's read can turn on a single red card, injury, or a tight decision. The outlook updates after each match Panama play.
Six model dimensions — form, attack, defense, ranking, pedigree and tournament outlook — against the 48-team average (dashed). Where the blue polygon bulges past the dashed line, Panama rates above the field.
Compare Panama head-to-head with any team →
Players grouped by position, sorted by international caps. Squad data straight from the gaffer's pipeline.
Panama's last 6 results, including World Cup 2026 fixtures, most recent first.
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