Iraq at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Group I. FIFA #63. Model: 23% to advance, 0% to win.
Usood Al-Rafidain (Lions of Mesopotamia)
Group I · World Cup 2026Group I is Iraq's stage at World Cup 2026, with Norway, France, Senegal as their opponents. The model puts their group-stage survival odds at 23%. They need at least one win from three to stay alive. They arrive on the back of L-L-L in recent results, their last outing a loss against Senegal (0-5).
The model gives Iraq a 23% probability of advancing from Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup and rates their title chance at 0%. Ranked #63 in the FIFA Men's World Ranking, qualification is genuinely contested rather than settled.
These are long-run probabilities, not certainties. A team rated at a 23% chance to advance still goes out roughly 77 times in 100, and the model's read can turn on a single red card, injury, or a tight decision. The outlook updates after each match Iraq play.
Six model dimensions — form, attack, defense, ranking, pedigree and tournament outlook — against the 48-team average (dashed). Where the blue polygon bulges past the dashed line, Iraq rates above the field.
Compare Iraq head-to-head with any team →
Players grouped by position, sorted by international caps. Squad data straight from the gaffer's pipeline.
Iraq's last 6 results, including World Cup 2026 fixtures, most recent first.
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