Tunisia at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Group F. FIFA #57. Model: 37% to advance, 0% to win.
Tunisia are drawn into Group F alongside Sweden, Japan, Netherlands. The model puts their group-stage survival odds at 37%. They need at least one win from three to stay alive. They arrive on the back of L-L-L in recent results, their last outing a loss against Netherlands (1-3).
The model gives Tunisia a 37% probability of advancing from Group F at the 2026 FIFA World Cup and rates their title chance at 0%. Ranked #57 in the FIFA Men's World Ranking, qualification is genuinely contested rather than settled.
These are long-run probabilities, not certainties. A team rated at a 37% chance to advance still goes out roughly 63 times in 100, and the model's read can turn on a single red card, injury, or a tight decision. The outlook updates after each match Tunisia play.
Six model dimensions — form, attack, defense, ranking, pedigree and tournament outlook — against the 48-team average (dashed). Where the blue polygon bulges past the dashed line, Tunisia rates above the field.
Compare Tunisia head-to-head with any team →
Every Tunisia match at the 2026 World Cup, with our model's win probability for each game. Starting in Group F.
Players grouped by position, sorted by international caps. Squad data straight from the gaffer's pipeline.
Tunisia's last 6 results, including World Cup 2026 fixtures, most recent first.
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