Curaçao at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Group E. FIFA #82. Model: 16% to advance, 0% to win.
Group E is Curaçao's stage at World Cup 2026, with Germany, Ecuador, Ivory Coast as their opponents. With a 16% advance probability, the model sees them as underdogs in every group game. A point from three matches would exceed expectations. They arrive on the back of L-D-L in recent results, their last outing a loss against Ivory Coast (0-2).
The model gives Curaçao a 16% probability of advancing from Group E at the 2026 FIFA World Cup and rates their title chance at 0%. Ranked #82 in the FIFA Men's World Ranking, qualification is genuinely contested rather than settled.
These are long-run probabilities, not certainties. A team rated at a 16% chance to advance still goes out roughly 84 times in 100, and the model's read can turn on a single red card, injury, or a tight decision. The outlook updates after each match Curaçao play.
Six model dimensions — form, attack, defense, ranking, pedigree and tournament outlook — against the 48-team average (dashed). Where the blue polygon bulges past the dashed line, Curaçao rates above the field.
Compare Curaçao head-to-head with any team →
Every Curaçao match at the 2026 World Cup, with our model's win probability for each game. Starting in Group E.
Players grouped by position, sorted by international caps. Squad data straight from the gaffer's pipeline.
Curaçao's last 6 results, including World Cup 2026 fixtures, most recent first.
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